Análisis ACR Messina vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
19%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 1956 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1956 |
VER
1 - 1
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1956 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 1956 |
MES
0 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 3
MES
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 1956 |
PAL
1 - 0
MOD
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1956 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1956 |
COM
3 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 1956 |
MOD
0 - 2
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 mar. 1956 |
CAT
3 - 1
MOD
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |