Análisis Milan vs SPAL
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
79.1%
Probabilidad gana
3
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.6%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Milan
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 dic. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
32%
24%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
03 dic. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 2
ACM
27%
25%
49%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
27 nov. 1961 |
ACM
2 - 2
ATL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
19 nov. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 1
ACM
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
12 nov. 1961 |
ACM
5 - 1
JUV
46%
22%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 dic. 1961 |
SPA
2 - 1
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
03 dic. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 1
SPA
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
27 nov. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPA
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
19 nov. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAM
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
12 nov. 1961 |
SPA
2 - 1
PAD
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |