Análisis Modena vs Novara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.24
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
29.5%
Empate
0-0
13%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
24%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 1970 |
PIS
0 - 0
MOD
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
COM
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1970 |
TAR
2 - 0
MOD
49%
30%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
PRG
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1970 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOD
58%
27%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 1970 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
40%
31%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
48%
31%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 1970 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASS
42%
31%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 1970 |
MAS
1 - 2
NOV
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1970 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAN
38%
35%
27%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |