Análisis Mogren vs Decic
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2006 |
MOG
1 - 0
FKZ
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2006 |
GRB
1 - 0
MOG
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2006 |
MOG
3 - 2
KOM
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 2006 |
SUT
2 - 0
MOG
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 2006 |
MOG
0 - 0
BOK
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2006 |
DEC
0 - 2
GRB
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2006 |
KOM
2 - 0
DEC
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2006 |
DEC
0 - 0
SUT
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 2006 |
BOK
0 - 0
DEC
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2006 |
DEC
0 - 0
PET
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |