Análisis Montecarlo vs CD Ebro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
22.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Ebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2009 |
CDE
4 - 0
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
UNI
5 - 0
CDE
74%
17%
8%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
CDE
6 - 0
BIE
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
CDA
3 - 1
CDE
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
CDE
3 - 1
LAL
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |