Análisis Montecarlo vs Oliver
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.24
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46%
Win probability
1.61
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+33%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2010 |
MON
3 - 1
UDM
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
UDM
1 - 1
UDC
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
ALF
1 - 2
UDM
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
UDM
1 - 2
ICF
25%
23%
53%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2010 |
SAA
0 - 2
UDM
49%
23%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
Partidos
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 1
LAA
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 1
OLI
33%
25%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
GAR
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
CDE
3 - 0
OLI
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
SAA
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |