Análisis CA Morelia vs Toluca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 6
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 nov. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUM
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 0
EST
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 4
ATL
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2004 |
ATL
4 - 2
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
TOL
4 - 0
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 nov. 2004 |
JAG
1 - 3
TOL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |