Análisis Nacional vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 2008 |
LQE
4 - 2
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 nov. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 nov. 2008 |
PET
1 - 3
NAC
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 0
2DE
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2008 |
12O
2 - 2
LIB
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2008 |
LQE
0 - 3
LIB
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |