Análisis Nacional vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.18
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+35%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 2002 |
NAC
4 - 1
MWA
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2002 |
JUV
2 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 3
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2002 |
DEP
1 - 3
NAC
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 feb. 2002 |
PLA
0 - 3
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 2002 |
TAC
0 - 0
DEF
47%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2002 |
RAC
1 - 2
DEF
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2002 |
DEF
1 - 1
CSY
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2002 |
DEP
0 - 1
DEF
41%
27%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2002 |
PAY
0 - 2
DEF
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |