Recopa de Europa 1/16
Global 4-2
Análisis Nancy vs Frem 1886
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
84.3%
Probabilidad gana
3.4
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.8%
Empate
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 1978 |
ASN
5 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASN
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1978 |
FRE
2 - 0
ASN
20%
19%
61%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 sep. 1978 |
ASN
1 - 2
SOC
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 1
ASN
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 1978 |
FRE
2 - 0
ASN
20%
19%
61%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1977 |
GCZ
6 - 1
FRE
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 1977 |
FRE
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
22%
51%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 1972 |
TWE
4 - 0
FRE
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 1972 |
FRE
0 - 5
TWE
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |