Análisis Napoli vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 1962 |
NOV
2 - 1
NAP
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 0
NAP
41%
29%
31%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 ene. 1962 |
NAP
2 - 1
ACP
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1962 |
NAP
0 - 0
VER
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 dic. 1961 |
COS
1 - 1
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 1962 |
MOD
1 - 0
COM
60%
23%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 1962 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1962 |
MOD
4 - 0
ASL
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 ene. 1962 |
COS
0 - 2
MOD
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 dic. 1961 |
FCC
2 - 2
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |