Análisis Náutico vs Marília
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.2%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jun. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 1
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 2004 |
CAX
2 - 3
NAU
29%
24%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 jun. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAO
73%
16%
10%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 jun. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
NAU
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 0
CRB
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jul. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 3
MOG
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 jun. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
CEA
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 jun. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 jun. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
SAO
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |