Análisis Naval vs Porto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
NAV
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
OLH
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 2
VST
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2009 |
ACA
3 - 1
NAV
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
EST
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ago. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 0
NAC
63%
23%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
10%
16%
75%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
60%
25%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |