Análisis NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
13.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.81
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.1
Goles esperados
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2011 |
VVV
1 - 4
NEC
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
NEC
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
GRA
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 2
PSV
17%
24%
58%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 mar. 2011 |
ADO
5 - 1
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2011 |
ADO
3 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
14%
18%
68%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |