Análisis NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2008 |
BEQ
0 - 5
NEC
13%
20%
67%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 1
NEC
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 0
DBU
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2008 |
TWE
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRA
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2008 |
AZA
3 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
GRO
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 sep. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 2
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 ago. 2008 |
HER
3 - 1
FEY
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
AJA
5 - 1
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |