Análisis Nice vs Metz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 1976 |
REI
1 - 0
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1976 |
MON
4 - 1
NIC
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASA
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1975 |
STR
2 - 2
NIC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 1976 |
MET
1 - 2
PSG
66%
19%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 1976 |
LIL
1 - 1
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 1976 |
MET
1 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 1975 |
ASS
1 - 0
MET
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 1975 |
LYO
2 - 3
MET
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |