Análisis Novorizontino vs Matonense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56%
Probabilidad gana
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
-57%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 2
NOV
44%
24%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
AGU
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOV
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2015 |
2 - 1
NOV
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 feb. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
PAU
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 2
MAT
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 4
AGU
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAT
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |