Análisis Numancia vs CD Guadalajara
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 1
NUM
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALM
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
NUM
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
ELC
2 - 2
NUM
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 2
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAB
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 2
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
HER
20%
29%
52%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2011 |
DEP
4 - 0
GUA
73%
19%
9%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAR
43%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |