Análisis Numancia vs Toreno
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.71
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.5%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.48
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 1989 |
NUM
5 - 0
CAC
87%
10%
3%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 1989 |
PON
0 - 0
NUM
26%
29%
45%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1989 |
NUM
1 - 2
CAB
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 1988 |
SAL
1 - 2
NUM
38%
28%
34%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1988 |
NUM
4 - 0
BEN
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 1989 |
SEG
3 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 1989 |
TOR
0 - 1
BSJ
48%
26%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1989 |
CDH
3 - 0
TOR
39%
28%
33%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 dic. 1988 |
CAC
1 - 1
TOR
35%
29%
37%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1988 |
TOR
1 - 0
PON
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |