Análisis Parma vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
FIO
36%
28%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
LEC
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 0
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 2011 |
CES
0 - 3
UDI
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2011 |
NAP
2 - 0
CES
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2011 |
CES
1 - 1
CAT
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 1
CES
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 0
CES
81%
13%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |