Análisis Paulista vs Portuguesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 sep. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAU
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAU
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2007 |
PAU
7 - 0
GRÊ
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2007 |
PAU
0 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2007 |
REM
3 - 2
PAU
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 3
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 sep. 2007 |
POR
3 - 1
ITU
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2007 |
CEA
0 - 0
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |