Análisis Paulista vs Mirassol FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.36
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2008 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAU
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2008 |
PAU
1 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2008 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
PAU
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 ene. 2008 |
PAU
1 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2008 |
MIR
1 - 2
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 2
MIR
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 2008 |
COR
0 - 0
MIR
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 ene. 2008 |
MIR
2 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 2
MIR
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | +1 |