Análisis Penafiel vs Marítimo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
29.8%
Empate
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
42.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-28%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2006 |
BEL
5 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 0
SPB
24%
29%
47%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 0
PEN
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 ene. 2006 |
NAV
4 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
EST
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 0
UDL
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2006 |
SCP
1 - 1
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
GFC
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2006 |
ADP
0 - 2
MAR
10%
20%
70%
|
76 | 23 | 53 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
ACA
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |