Análisis Penafiel vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-28%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 2021 |
EST
3 - 1
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 dic. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 dic. 2020 |
COV
2 - 3
PEN
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 dic. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
LEX
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 0
PEN
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ene. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIL
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 2020 |
VIZ
1 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 2
FEI
25%
29%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 3
COV
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 nov. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |