Análisis Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
PEÑ
18%
23%
60%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 3
PEÑ
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ETS
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 ago. 2011 |
MAL
4 - 0
PEÑ
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 ago. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 2
PEÑ
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 1
CSC
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
DEF
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 0
JUN
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 jun. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
TAC
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |