Análisis Penybont vs Caerau Ely
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.59
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+46%
-25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
GOY
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
GOY
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2014 |
PEN
5 - 1
TON
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2014 |
TAF
1 - 2
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAM
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 mar. 2014 |
MON
3 - 0
CAE
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2014 |
TAF
1 - 1
CAE
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2014 |
CWM
1 - 2
CAE
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2014 |
GOY
4 - 1
CAE
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
ABE
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |