Análisis Real Cartagena vs Bogotá
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2013 |
RSC
0 - 1
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 feb. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 1
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
BOG
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 1
BUC
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 1
BOG
39%
24%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 2
AME
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 oct. 2012 |
BOG
3 - 2
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |