Análisis Real Jaén vs CD Málaga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
30%
Empate
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
28.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 1979 |
GDE
2 - 0
RJA
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 feb. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 1
RJA
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 0
ELC
38%
31%
31%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 ene. 1979 |
DEP
2 - 1
RJA
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 0
CAD
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1979 |
VAD
4 - 1
MAL
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 feb. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 0
GDE
60%
25%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 feb. 1979 |
ALG
1 - 0
MAL
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 1
VAD
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |