Segunda B - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 1-2
Análisis Real Jaén vs Villarreal B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jun. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
RJA
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
PON
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
RJA
5 - 0
LEG
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 2
RJA
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jun. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
RJA
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 3
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
LOR
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 may. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
ZAM
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 2
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |