Análisis Real Murcia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1965 |
CDB
1 - 2
MUR
30%
30%
40%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1965 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDT
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 1965 |
SAB
1 - 0
MUR
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 jun. 1965 |
MUR
2 - 2
SAB
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1965 |
MUR
1 - 0
FCB
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
RAY
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1965 |
CEU
1 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 1965 |
HER
3 - 0
VAL
63%
20%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1965 |
IND
1 - 1
HER
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1965 |
HER
3 - 1
MAL
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |