Análisis Real Murcia vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
21.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 dic. 1954 |
UDE
3 - 0
MUR
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1954 |
TER
1 - 2
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1954 |
MUR
3 - 1
XER
69%
17%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 1954 |
CAS
2 - 0
MUR
50%
24%
27%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 nov. 1954 |
MUR
3 - 2
GRA
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 dic. 1954 |
RJA
4 - 0
CAT
65%
19%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1954 |
UDE
2 - 2
RJA
48%
23%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1954 |
RJA
0 - 0
TER
83%
11%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 1954 |
XER
9 - 1
RJA
49%
23%
29%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 nov. 1954 |
RJA
5 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |