Análisis Real Murcia vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1958 |
EXT
4 - 1
MUR
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1958 |
MUR
1 - 0
LEV
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 nov. 1958 |
CAD
0 - 0
MUR
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1958 |
MUR
1 - 0
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1958 |
CCF
4 - 2
MUR
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1958 |
RJA
2 - 0
PUL
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1958 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDT
75%
16%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1958 |
EXT
0 - 0
RJA
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1958 |
RJA
2 - 1
LEV
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1958 |
CAD
1 - 2
RJA
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |