Análisis Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.54
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.2%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.41
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 1968 |
BSC
0 - 2
ROT
16%
21%
63%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1968 |
WHE
1 - 3
ROT
21%
27%
53%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1968 |
ROT
2 - 1
LEV
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1968 |
ROT
2 - 0
ARB
62%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 1968 |
F95
0 - 1
ROT
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 1968 |
KÖL
1 - 1
F95
27%
23%
51%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1968 |
ROT
4 - 0
KÖL
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1968 |
KÖL
2 - 3
BOC
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 1968 |
SWE
1 - 2
KÖL
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 1968 |
KÖL
1 - 1
HAM
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |