Análisis São Paulo vs Grêmio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jun. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
ONC
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 may. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 4
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAO
55%
21%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 0
TAC
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 3
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 2
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLA
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |