Análisis Alemania vs Países Bajos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
11.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 0
HUN
66%
20%
14%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1978 |
CSK
3 - 4
BRD
38%
27%
36%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 1978 |
AUT
3 - 2
BRD
38%
26%
37%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 1978 |
BRD
2 - 2
NED
75%
14%
10%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 0
ITA
68%
18%
15%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Países Bajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 1978 |
NED
3 - 0
DDR
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1978 |
SUI
1 - 3
NED
25%
27%
47%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1978 |
NED
3 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | +1 |
| 25 jun. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
NED
66%
18%
15%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 jun. 1978 |
NED
2 - 1
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |