Análisis España vs Bélgica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ago. 2009 |
MKD
2 - 3
ESP
10%
20%
70%
|
99 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 2
RSA
92%
7%
1%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 jun. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
USA
80%
14%
6%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
RSA
92%
7%
1%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRQ
93%
7%
1%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Bélgica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ago. 2009 |
CZE
3 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
12%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
JPN
4 - 0
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 may. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 1
BEL
26%
27%
47%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 4
BIH
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | -1 |