Análisis España vs San Marino
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
95.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.52
Goles esperados
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
3.6%
6-0
6.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
11.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
12.6%
4-0
16.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
18.2%
3-0
18.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.2%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.2%
+1
11.5%
4%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
1.3%
2-2
0.2%
0
4%
0.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.14
Goles esperados
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.1%
-1
0.4%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+43%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
55%
24%
21%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2004 |
LTU
0 - 0
ESP
11%
22%
67%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
67%
19%
13%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2004 |
BIH
1 - 1
ESP
5%
15%
79%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 1
SCO
77%
15%
7%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2004 |
SMR
0 - 1
LTU
12%
18%
70%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2004 |
SCG
5 - 0
SMR
88%
10%
3%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2004 |
LTU
4 - 0
SMR
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2004 |
SMR
0 - 3
SCG
13%
21%
67%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 2004 |
SMR
1 - 0
LIE
84%
10%
6%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |