Análisis Francia vs Chile
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.93
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.8%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Francia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 0
FRA
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1959 |
FRA
4 - 3
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1959 |
FRA
5 - 2
AUT
54%
20%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1959 |
SUI
1 - 2
FRA
46%
22%
33%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 nov. 1959 |
FRA
1 - 0
LUX
79%
12%
10%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 1959 |
CHI
4 - 2
ARG
19%
22%
59%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1959 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1959 |
BRA
7 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 abr. 1959 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 1959 |
CHI
5 - 2
BOL
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |