Análisis Francia vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.25
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Francia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 nov. 1999 |
FRA
3 - 0
CRO
88%
9%
3%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1999 |
FRA
3 - 2
ISL
83%
13%
4%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1999 |
ARM
2 - 3
FRA
4%
18%
78%
|
98 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1999 |
UKR
0 - 0
FRA
8%
20%
72%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 1999 |
NIR
0 - 1
FRA
14%
26%
61%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2000 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1999 |
SWE
2 - 0
POL
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1999 |
POL
0 - 0
ENG
22%
27%
51%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 1999 |
POL
1 - 2
ESP
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 1999 |
POL
5 - 4
NZL
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |