Análisis Italia vs Bélgica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
76%
Probabilidad gana
2.99
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Italia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 1954 |
ITA
2 - 0
ARG
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 jun. 1954 |
CHE
4 - 1
ITA
40%
23%
37%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 1954 |
ITA
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 1954 |
CHE
2 - 1
ITA
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1954 |
FRA
1 - 3
ITA
43%
23%
34%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Bélgica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 1954 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
60%
19%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 3
NLD
74%
14%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1954 |
BEL
2 - 0
DEU
42%
21%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 jun. 1954 |
ITA
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 jun. 1954 |
ENG
4 - 4
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |