Análisis Japón vs Nigeria
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
62.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
15.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Japón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jun. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 1
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2003 |
FRA
2 - 1
JPN
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 2003 |
NZL
0 - 3
JPN
8%
17%
75%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
PRY
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 jun. 2003 |
JPN
1 - 4
ARG
23%
24%
53%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jul. 2003 |
NGA
1 - 0
VEN
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 2003 |
NGA
2 - 2
AGO
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 2003 |
NGA
0 - 3
BRA
15%
21%
65%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2003 |
NGA
4 - 1
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2003 |
NGA
3 - 0
CMR
52%
26%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |