Análisis Nueva Caledonia vs Vanuatu
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.57
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-39%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 1980 |
AUS
8 - 0
NCL
87%
9%
5%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 1973 |
NCL
2 - 1
VAN
70%
16%
14%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 feb. 1973 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
88%
7%
4%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1973 |
NCL
2 - 0
FIJ
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 feb. 1973 |
NCL
4 - 1
VAN
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 1980 |
PNG
4 - 3
VAN
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 1973 |
NCL
2 - 1
VAN
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1973 |
NZL
3 - 1
VAN
89%
7%
4%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1973 |
VAN
2 - 1
FIJ
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 feb. 1973 |
TAH
1 - 0
VAN
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |