Análisis Nueva Zelanda vs Sudáfrica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.9
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
44.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.17
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Zelanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 1936 |
NZL
1 - 4
AUS
42%
22%
37%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 jul. 1936 |
NZL
0 - 10
AUS
44%
22%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 jul. 1936 |
NZL
1 - 7
AUS
47%
22%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 jun. 1933 |
AUS
4 - 2
NZL
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 jun. 1933 |
AUS
6 - 4
NZL
64%
18%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jun. 1947 |
AUS
1 - 2
RSA
61%
17%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 1947 |
AUS
5 - 1
RSA
58%
18%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 may. 1947 |
AUS
3 - 3
RSA
58%
18%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1947 |
AUS
2 - 4
RSA
61%
18%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 may. 1947 |
AUS
1 - 2
RSA
63%
17%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |