Análisis Papua Nueva Guinea vs Vanuatu
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
16.9%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-30%
-39%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Papua Nueva Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 1979 |
FIJ
0 - 0
PNG
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 1969 |
PNG
2 - 1
FIJ
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +3 |
| 19 ago. 1969 |
PNG
1 - 1
FIJ
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 1973 |
NCL
2 - 1
VAN
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 1973 |
NZL
3 - 1
VAN
89%
7%
4%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1973 |
VAN
2 - 1
FIJ
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 feb. 1973 |
TAH
1 - 0
VAN
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 1973 |
NCL
4 - 1
VAN
64%
19%
18%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |