Repesca Mundial . Final
Global 4-2
Análisis Portugal vs Suecia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2013 |
PRT
3 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
92 | 41 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2013 |
PRT
1 - 1
ISR
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
PRT
73%
17%
10%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2013 |
NIR
2 - 4
PRT
9%
20%
71%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2013 |
PRT
1 - 1
NLD
32%
24%
43%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Suecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2013 |
SWE
3 - 5
DEU
22%
22%
56%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2013 |
SWE
2 - 1
AUT
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 2013 |
KAZ
0 - 1
SWE
8%
19%
73%
|
92 | 63 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 sep. 2013 |
IRL
1 - 2
SWE
36%
27%
37%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2013 |
SWE
4 - 2
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |