Clasificación Mundial África 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Análisis Ruanda vs Eritrea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.27
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+35%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ruanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 1
RWA
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 5
CIV
10%
21%
69%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | -1 |
| 05 jun. 2011 |
BDI
3 - 1
RWA
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
BDI
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 2009 |
TAN
4 - 0
ERI
72%
18%
9%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2009 |
ERI
1 - 2
SOM
35%
25%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 dic. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 1
ERI
70%
19%
10%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |