Análisis URSS vs Finlandia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.8%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 1978 |
BRD
1 - 0
SUN
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 3
SUN
20%
27%
54%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1977 |
FRA
0 - 0
SUN
42%
28%
30%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1977 |
NED
0 - 0
SUN
54%
25%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1977 |
SUN
4 - 1
POL
57%
24%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Finlandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 1977 |
ITA
6 - 1
FIN
86%
12%
3%
|
56 | 91 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1977 |
SUI
2 - 0
FIN
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 1977 |
FIN
0 - 1
BRD
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 92 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 1977 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 1977 |
FIN
1 - 2
DEN
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |