Análisis Uruguay vs Argentina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
59.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.28
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 1912 |
ROS
0 - 4
URU
4%
12%
84%
|
72 | 11 | 61 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 1912 |
ARG
3 - 3
URU
59%
20%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1912 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1912 |
SCO
1 - 5
URU
3%
13%
84%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 1912 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |
Partidos
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 oct. 1912 |
ARG
3 - 3
URU
59%
20%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1912 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 ago. 1912 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 ago. 1912 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 1912 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |