Análisis Sevilla At. vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2009 |
ECI
2 - 1
SEV
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 1
SRQ
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
SEV
0 - 1
MEL
43%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
SEV
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 2009 |
SEV
0 - 2
RJA
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
LUC
54%
28%
19%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 2
CFB
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
LUC
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
IMP
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |