Análisis SPAL vs Cesena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.1%
Empate
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
27.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 1993 |
PAD
3 - 2
SPA
61%
24%
14%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1993 |
SPA
1 - 2
TAR
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 may. 1993 |
FIA
1 - 0
SPA
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1993 |
SPA
1 - 1
REG
33%
31%
36%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1993 |
ASL
3 - 1
SPA
55%
28%
18%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 1993 |
CES
1 - 1
REG
48%
29%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1993 |
PIA
1 - 1
CES
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 may. 1993 |
CES
1 - 0
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 1993 |
CES
1 - 0
FIA
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1993 |
PAD
1 - 1
CES
52%
28%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |